Looking at the chart on Ford, I am going to say that it is
better to be cautious if one was holding Ford (F) stock right now. Why?
Firstly looking at the shaded blue histogram swing trading
indicator, I see lower highs. I have drawn a red line across the tops. Meanwhile
price is still making new highs. See the black
line. When the red line is pointed down and the black line connecting the price
tops is pointed up, we are seeing a price divergence. In this case we would
interpret that divergence
as negative and say that price is making higher highs but with a weaker
and weaker level of support as shown by the indicator.
Next take a look at the MACT dropping. These are the dual lines on the
price chart. That is not encouraging. Previously when the stock was going up,
the MACT was climbing. That is no longer the case.
Meanwhile fundamentals like energy prices are heading
downwards, although I have not seen a huge drop at the gas pumps lately.
Perhaps that is because of Thanksgiving. If gas prices drop, and interest rates stay
low, that would be a positive environment for transportation stocks.
So which way is Ford heading?
The price is still above the blue uptrend line and the overall
up trend is still intact. If price breaks down below this then I would
definitely be concerned. In any case I would be following the trading signals
to protect my portfolio. Be cautious… pare down. But if price gets back above $18 and the
black line, then to the bank we go.
Daily Chart on F is shown below.
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