Saturday, January 3, 2015

401K Monthly Analysis – Happy New Year 1/2/15

Market background: The chart on SPY shows an Exit Up signal. Meanwhile DIA (Dow Jones 30) is still holding on to an Up signal. Long term Bond funds TLT is rising (See charts for all 3 below). Oil is getting decimated. The chart on USL slopes downwards at 45 degrees with an unrelenting drop. Gold remains weak and could slide lower with the US Dollar strengthening.. Real estate IYR is up. And the US Dollar is strong against most international currencies… with the weakest having been the Ruble. After the Russians raised interest rates on the Ruble from 10% to 17%, the Ruble appears to have found a more solid footing. However the Russian economy is in the tank due to lower oil revenues caused by low oil prices and a sliding Ruble.

Top choices for my current employer’s 401K monthly analysis using my momentum analysis are Fidelity Growth, Spartan 500 and Fidelity Blue Chip.
In my previous employer’s 401K top fund picks are Cohen & Steers Realty Fund, Fidelity Mt Vernon Growth and Vanguard Instl Index.

The economy shows strong GDP. Market is still pointing upward. Interest rates are low.  And should we be thanking the speculators for dropping oil prices since we blamed them when oil prices were above $100?







No comments:

Post a Comment